1. NOVEMBER MARKETS
2. UP STARS/DOWN STARS
3. GOLDEN OPPORTUNITIES
4. QUOTES
5. ON THE WEB
6. LETTERS
1. DOW 9500 BEFORE 10,000?
IF SO, THEN 9000 BEFORE 10000?
Note: We are preparing an intraday WSNW subscriber’s alert in case
Monday’s Full Moon or
ASTRODATES
11/02 Full Moon 2.14 pm ET
11/04
11/16 Full Moon 2.14 pm ET
11/21 Sun enters Sagittarius
TRADERS:
Full Moon Monday could be fun. Ditto for
FOMC Wednesday.
Note:
Traders Diapers warning for both days! :)
INVESTORS:
My long term view is well known. Focus on protecting against downside risk and
only buy and hold stocks with sustainable earnings at Deeply Discounted Value
pricing.
Invest
only in stocks at bargain basement prices that you are willing to hold until
2011.
Soberly
prepare for the reality of an L or U shaped US economy for the next two to
seven years.
FAIR VALUE: DOW 8615 NAS 1755 SPX 894
LONG/SHORT
PORTFOLIO: L2/S3
KEY DATES: NOVEMBER 2, 4
DJIA:
9747 PIVOT S1 9600 S2 9200
S3 9000
SPX: 1042 PIVOT
NASDAQ: 2080 PIVOT
XAU: 155PIVOT/SUPPORT?
DEC GOLD 1050 PIVOT 1020 SUPPORT 1080 RESISTA
DEC SILVER: 1650PIVOT
XOI: 1000 SUPPORT 11300 RESISTA
DEC OIL: 78 PIVOT R1 76 R2 74 R3 72 SUPPORT
R1 80 R2 82 R3 84
Market Marker Sentiment until March
2010 is Less Volatility with Market Cross Currents.
Stocks Meander slightly ahead and favor defensive plays.
The
7/21 PRE-ECLIPSE: DJIA 8915. SPX
954 & NASDAQ 1916
2008 CLOSE:
DJIA 8776,
SPX 903 & NASDAQ 1577
2007 CLOSE:
DJIA 13264, SPX 1468 &
NASDAQ 2655
2006 CLOSE:
DJIA 12463, SPX 1418 &
NASDAQ 2415
2005 CLOSE:
DJIA 10717, SPX 1248 & NASDAQ
2205
DJIA:
7 ~ FV 1 UV; 5 offer 4%+ Dividends 3 offer 5%+ Dividends.
THINK
TRADITIONAL SWISS AND PRESERVE CAPITAL: FOCUS ON PROTECTING AGAINST DOWNSIDE
RISK.
2. Outside of special situations (e.g. select silver and
microcaps), we await a market pullback before committing fresh funds.
3. Metals & Mining Analysts' Ratings & Estimates - Juniors
Metals
& Mining Analysts' Ratings & Estimates - Seniors
Technically,
$1000 support for gold keeps increasing. But while increasing Q1 2010, given that
my Fair Value range for Gold is currently still UNDER $1000, what can I say? We are still waiting to buy.
However, we are
ready, willing and able to pounce should gold do a serious breakout of 1080. In
case this occurs, we would buy quality micro and midcap precious metal stocks.
Silver is currently worth less than $16. Be that as it may,
we recommended buying Silver stocks on the dip last week (and in trading cases,
selling quickly for a good profit).
Should Silver be very weak early in the week as we expect,
we recommend a FIRST 2010 BUY of silver stocks. We are not saying Silver
won’t drop to $14.50 to $15 range. Hence, our second buy, may be higher or
lower. We are saying that a number of Silver Stocks are close to trading near
enough to value to make the risk/reward of a first 2010 buy and hold entry
attractive as an intermediate term investment as well as a hedge.
Wall Street, Next Week subscribers may wish to review our
premium post: S:
MINING (11/02/2000.
4. “You have this skepticism in the equity market
that is frankly irrational. Given that the third quarter was the tail end of
the recession and earnings are this good tells you earnings are going to snap
back much faster than people expect.”
Richard
Campagna, chief executive officer, 300 North Capital
HW: I don’t agree.
"The
earnings season marches on and Wall Street is merely yawning. Save for the
blowout from Amazon, earnings that are beating estimates are not being met with
the huzzahs of prior quarters, although if a company misses, they are severely
punished."
Paul
Nolte, director of investments, Hinsdale Associates
HW: S&M investing- what a concept! :)
“If
this one breaks, I think it’s going to be another bear rally where we’re going
to go back to at least 1,000 or so. For me, I’m starting to lighten up on the
equities in my account.”
Tom
McNally, money manager, Wilbanks, Smith & Thomas
HW:
I agree.
5. How
the 'lost decade' was won
Rising market
gives many a sinking feeling
While
market watchers are delighted that the S&P 500 has climbed 62% from its
March 9 low — and is up more than 20% for the year — many find the gains
difficult to understand or explain.
6. READER: Any idea on the %
of drop on gold stocks vs. gold price?
HW: I believe that Gold will probably drop
somewhat less than gold stocks.
READER: US Bonds - The next bubble to burst in
HW: I don’t have a number calculated
at this time. I am still working on 2009 numbers. This week we achieved our P1
Q4 2009 number of 9747. P2 of course is 9600.
(c)
2009 All
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